RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK PRICES AND THE EXCHANGE RATES IN BRICS COUNTRIES: THRESHOLD COINTEGRATION AND THRESHOLD GRANGER CAUSALITY

Abstract

Author(s): Mehmet Sinan TEMURLENK*, Anil LÖGÜN**

The aim of the study is to examine the relationship between stock markets and exchange rates for BRICS. In this context, the period 2003:01 – 2019:03 has been analyzed. In this study, the existence of long-term relationship with different cointegration approaches has been investigated. In addition, the relationship between stock market indices and exchange rates of countries in the short and long terms has been analyzed. For this purpose, Enders and Siklos (2001) approach is applied. The existence of a cointegration relationship between the stock market and the exchange rate in BRICS is researched by utilizing TAR and MTAR models. According to the results, the error correction model in which the dependent variable is the stock market is valid for all countries. The cointegration results show that there is a long-term relationship between the stock market indices and exchange rates of BRICS countries. The finding of causality in the short term is not found for Brazil but in the long term, there is a causal relationship between the stock market index and exchange rate ratios in different directions.

Announcements

You can send your paper at Online Submission System

  • The Journal of International Social Research / Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi ISSN: 1307-9581, an international, peer-reviewed, on the web publication, from 2007 will be issued least four times annualy.
  • Our journal is an independent academic publication based on research in social sciences, contributing to its field and trying to publish scientific articles that will bring innovation to the original and social sciences.
  • The journal has got an international editorial board and referee board, mainly embodied from the each individually professional on the social research fields.
  • Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi / The Journal of International Social Research became a member of Cross Reff since 2014 and started to assign DOI numbers to the articles. image
Google Scholar citation report
Citations : 7760

The Journal of International Social Research received 7760 citations as per Google Scholar report

The Journal of International Social Research peer review process verified by publons
Get the App