ANALYSIS OF CAUSALITY AMONG EXPORTS, IMPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

Abstract

Author(s): ?brahim AKKA? Musa ZTRK**

In this study, the causal relationships between export, import and GDP in Turkey between the 2001Q3-2014Q3 periods are analysed and it is tested whether export-led growth theory or import-led growth theory is valid for the economic growth realized in this period. Quarterly GDP, exports and imports data for the mentioned period were examined by structral breaks and linear time series analyses. In conclusion;it is seen that the growth of the Turkey’s economy in the period after the central bank earned its independence presents import-led growth theory rather than export-led growth theory and accordingly it is concluded that “the export led growth” strategy aimed by the structural transformation initiated in 1980 was not successful, on the contrary, an import-led growth was realized.

Announcements

You can send your paper at https://www.scholarscentral.org/submissions/international-social-research.html

  • The Journal of International Social Research / Uluslararas覺 Sosyal Arat覺rmalar Dergisi ISSN: 1307-9581, an international, peer-reviewed, on the web publication, from 2007 will be issued least four times annualy.
  • Our journal is an independent academic publication based on research in social sciences, contributing to its field and trying to publish scientific articles that will bring innovation to the original and social sciences.
  • The journal has got an international editorial board and referee board, mainly embodied from the each individually professional on the social research fields.
  • Uluslararas覺 Sosyal Arat覺rmalar Dergisi / The Journal of International Social Research became a member of Cross Reff since 2014 and started to assign DOI numbers to the articles. image
Google Scholar citation report
Citations : 27

The Journal of International Social Research received 27 citations as per Google Scholar report

The Journal of International Social Research peer review process verified by publons
Get the App